A former top aide to Democrat President Bill Clinton tempered hopes that the Democratic Party will see huge gains in the 2026 midterms, asserting that Republicans will be “insulated” by “structural changes” in the country’s politics.
Doug Sosnik, who was a senior adviser to Clinton in both terms, shared his analysis in a memo and in an interview with Politico published Wednesday.
Sosnik said the best predictor of midterm elections is the approval rating of the sitting president. With President Donald Trump’s approval rating at 44.5% as of this week, according to Nate Silver, Sosnik said, “Trump and the Republicans should be headed to a really bad midterm election.”
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